Harrell Scarborough (lauramoat86)

Our study addressed the problem of underestimation of the duration and magnitude of declines caused by short runs of monitoring data by allowing for the truncation of time series. The multiplier was derived from probability distributions of decline magnitudes within a given period, adjusted for truncation. Over a surveillance period of 100 years, we estimated that there was a 10% risk across species that a sustained population decline of at least sixteen-fold would begin. We therefore suggest that, in this case, a factor of 16 could be used as the multiplier of small-population MVPs to obtain minimum threshold population sizes for favourable status. We propose this 'MVP Multiplier' method as a new and robust approach to obtaining minimum threshold population sizes which integrates the concepts of small-population and declining-population paradigms. The minimum threshold value we propose is intended for use alongside a range of other measures to enable overall assessments of favourable conservation status.When treating children with Cerebral Palsy (CP), computational simulations based on musculoskeletal models have a great potential in assisting the clinical decision-making process towards the most promising treatments. In particular, predictive simulations could be used to predict and compare the functional outcome of a series of candidate interventions. In order to be able to benefit from these predictive simulations however, it is important to know how much information about the post-treatment patient's motor control could be gathered from data available before the intervention. Within this paper, we quantified how much of the muscle activity measured after a treatment could be explained by subject-specific muscle synergies computed from EMG data collected before the intervention. We also investigated whether generic synergies could be used, in case no EMG data is available when running predictive simulations, to reproduce both pre- and post-treatment muscle activity in children with CP. Subject-specific synergies proved to be a good indicator of the patient's post-treatment motor control, explaining on average more than 85% of the post-treatment muscle activity, compared to an average of 94% when applied to the original pre-treatment data. Generic synergies explained 84% of the pre-treatment and 83% of the post-treatment muscle activity on average, but performed relatively well for patients with low selective motor control and poorly in patients with more selectivity. Our results suggest that subject-specific muscle synergies computed from pre-treatment EMG data could be used with confidence to represent the post-treatment motor control of children with CP during walking. In addition, when performing simulations involving patients with a low selective motor control, generic synergies could be a valid alternative.To date, no comprehensive analysis of autoantibodies in sera of patients with ulcerative colitis has been conducted. To analyze the spectrum of autoantibodies and to elucidate their role serum-IgG from UC patients (n = 49) and non-UC donors (n = 23) were screened by using a human protein microarray. Screening yielded a remarkable number of 697 differentially-reactive at the nominal 0·01 significance level (FDR less then 0·1) of the univariate test between the UC and the non-UC group. CD99 emerged as a biomarker to discriminate between both groups (p = 1e-04, AUC = 0·8). In addition, cytokines, chemokines and growth factors were analyzed by Olink's Proseek® Multiplex Inflammation-I 96×96 immuno-qPCR assay and 31 genes were significant at the nominal 0.05 level of the univariate test to discriminate between UC and non-UC donors. selleckchem MCP-3, HGF and CXCL-9 were identified as the most significant markers to discriminate between UC patients with clinically active and inactive disease. Levels of CXCL10 (cor = 0.3; p = 0p = 0·01). Furthermore, levels of anti-CD99 antibodies increased (Control 398 ± 323; mean MFI